Research and Analytics

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CIPFA Probation Service Statistics


August 1997
Using the estimates in conjunction with figures produced for actuals, it is possible to analyse general trends and patterns for the probation service. This commentary relates to England and Wales, excluding London, as the administrative procedures and the funding of expenditure are different in London.

Returns were received from all probation authorities for the 1997-98 estimates, however two authorities, Durham and Staffordshire, were unable to supply staffing data. Four authorities, Avon, Dyfed, Mid Glamorgan and Gwent, were unable to supply any information for the 1995-96 actuals, and one authority, Derbyshire, was unable to supply staffing data. For comparison purposes only, financial data for these authorities have been calculated using percentage changes, based on the other authorities' returns, for each heading where appropriate. The non-financial data have been grossed up by using data from previous years' statistics as appropriate.

Manpower
The table excludes the following:
  1. Staff employed under Manpower Services Commission Schemes.
  2. Staff employed under Urban Programme Projects.

As the staffing figures for the actuals do not separately identify officers working in the Prison Service these have been included in the table as Probation Officers. The estimated number of Probation Officers seconded to the Prison Service as at 31st March 1998 is 534.4.

Analysis of the estimates reveals that budget provision has been made for a decrease of 549.8 full time equivalents (4.1%) on the total 1996-97 manpower levels.

Expenditure and Income

Price Base

This is the fourth year that the estimates statistics have been compiled at outturn prices and care is needed when making comparisons with years prior to 1994-95.

1997-98 Estimates

Due to the decrease in the estimated number of full time equivalent staff shown above, Gross Expenditure has decreased by 4.0m (1.0%), whilst Net Expenditure to be met from Council Tax, NNDR and Revenue Support Grant has decreased by 0.6m (0.8%). The 1996-97 Estimates showed increases of 13.2m (3.7%) and 2.75m (3.7%) respectively. However, Net Expenditure for the 1997-98 estimates has increased by 2.9m (0.8%).

1995-96 Actuals

Gross Expenditure has increased by 6.1m (1.6%), whilst Net Expenditure to be met from Council Tax, NNDR and Revenue Support Grant has increased by 2.6m (3.7%). The 1994-95 Actuals showed increases of 27m (7.7%) and 4.1m (6.3%) respectively.

Client Groups and Workload

As details of workload are not available, the client groups used in the statistics for comparison purposes continue to be projected population aged 15-29. The mid-1997 figures have been used for the estimates and mid-1995 for the actuals. The number of persons proceeded against at Magistrates' Courts for indictable offences in 1995 has also been used. The Home Office, in supplying the latter set of figures which are taken from the Criminal Statistics supplied by the Police, wish care to be taken in their use because of the following points:
  1. A defendant is recorded only once for each set of Court proceedings against the principal offence involved.
  2. Figures for some areas are estimates and have been rounded to the nearest hundred.
  3. Persons proceeded against in one probation area may eventually be dealt with by the probation service in another area.
  4. The figures cover only indictable offences, and supervision and community service orders can be given in the cases of offences triable only summarily
  5. large number of persons proceeded against in the courts have no contact with the Probation Service.
  6. The figures relate to 1995 whereas other figures in the statistics relate to 1995-96 and 1997-98.

Expenditure Analysis

Expenditure Analysis
A breakdown for capital charges over the above expenditure headings is not available. Estimated capital charges for Cash limited services are 1,044,807 and 3,816,951 for Services outside of cash limit.

1997/98 Estimates

The following charts show the breakdown of expenditure and income for the Probation Service.

Expenditure and Income
The following diagram provides an analysis of the main areas of activity for the Probation Service in terms of the total amounts spent on individual services.

Functional Analysis
The diagram below shows net expenditure per 1000 population aged 15-29 - column 23 (excluding London).

Net Expenditure per 1000 Population Aged 15-29 - Cash Limited Services
The highest costs per 1000 population aged 15-29 occur at Cumbria (13,271) and Merseyside (11,178). The lowest costs occur at West Sussex (5,281) and North Yorkshire (5,340). In Cumbria the number of persons proceeded against for indictable offences is high in relation to the 15-29 age group, whereas generally the reverse is true of the areas with the lowest costs.

The following diagram shows net expenditure per person proceeded against at Magistrates' Courts for indictable offences - column 26 (excluding London).

Net Expenditure per Person Proceeded Against - Cash Limited Services
The highest costs using this measure occur at Surrey (282) and Somerset (272). The lowest costs occur at Dyfed (119) and Lancashire (122). In Surrey the number of persons proceeded against for indictable offences is low in relation to the 15-29 age group, whereas generally the reverse is true of the areas with the lowest costs.

Summary of Estimated Expenditure and Income 1997-98 (Grossed)

August 1997

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